Nest Egg Withdrawal Rates
Suppose you had a client with a $1 million nest egg (½ stocks and ½ bonds) who began taking withdrawals at age 65 at the beginning of 1973. Depending on the inflation-adjusted withdrawal rate, the client would have been broke before age 77 (January 1977) if the withdrawal rate had been 7–8% per year; the entire nest egg would not have been wiped out until age 89 (January 1997) if the rate had been 5% (age 82–83 at a 6% rate). However, if the inflation-adjusted rate had been just 4% per year (i.e., $40K the 1st year and then $41.2K the 2nd year, etc.), the nest egg would have been worth $2.1 million when the client reached age 101.
20 Years of Withdrawals: Likelihood of Success
Stock/Bond Allocation (%) |
||||
Rate* |
20/80 |
40/60 |
60/40 |
80/20 |
1–3% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
4% |
99 |
100 |
98 |
97 |
5% |
93 |
94 |
91 |
88 |
6% |
65 |
74 |
74 |
73 |
25 Years of Withdrawals: Likelihood of Success
Stock/Bond Allocation (%) |
||||
Rate* |
20/80 |
40/60 |
60/40 |
80/20 |
1–2% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
3% |
100 |
100 |
100 |
98 |
4% |
95 |
95 |
94 |
90 |
5% |
68 |
75 |
77 |
75 |
6% |
33 |
46 |
54 |
57 |
25 Years of Withdrawals: Likelihood of Success
Stock/Bond Allocation (%) |
||||
Rate* |
20/80 |
40/60 |
60/40 |
80/20 |
1–2% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
3% |
98 |
98 |
98 |
96 |
4% |
83 |
87 |
87 |
84 |
5% |
46 |
58 |
63 |
64 |
6% |
15 |
29 |
40 |
45 |