Stocks
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Systematic and Unsystematic Risk
DJIA Bull Markets and Contrary Indicator
The table below lists the five largest Dow bull markets as of August 14, 2014 (source: WSJ).
Longest Dow Jones Industrial Average Bull Markets
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Period (days) |
Gain |
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Some Portfolios May Be Too Diversified
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Private Equity Fund Performance
Dividend-Paying Stocks
The table below shows annualized returns for the period 1974-2013 for different categories of U.S. stocks (source: CRSP, University of Chicago, 2014). The table includes all publicly traded companies in the U.S. with at least a $1 billion market capitalization.
Annualized Returns: 1974-2013
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Stocks over the previous 12 months… |
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TIPS
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Barclays Aggregate vs. Money Market
TIPS
As of June 2014, the TIPS marketplace was valued at just under $1 trillion, representing ~ 8% of the Treasury debt market. TIPS represent the only marketable U.S. debt instrument with an inflation hedge—prices are adjusted twice a year to account for CPI increases.
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Municipal Bond Pricing Website
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Dividend-Paying Stocks
S&P Small Cap 600 vs. Russell 2000
There is no standard definition of a small cap stock. The methodology used deciding what stocks are included in a small cap index can result in significant return differences. As of the middle of 2014, The S&P SmallCap outperformed the Russell 2000 for 12 of the last 19 years. The Russell 2000 has been tracking small caps for 30+ years; the S&P SmallCap 600 has been around for 19+ years.
S&P SmallCap 600 vs. Russell 2000
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When to Claim Social Security Benefits
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HSA Accounts: Shadow IRAs
Stock Dividends
As of May 2014, 421 (or 84%) of the S&P 500 companies paid dividends. Excluding the 2007-2009 financial crisis, the number of companies in the S&P index paying dividends has been increasing for the past 10 years. The 20-year low for the S&P 500 dividend yield was 1.09%, reached in 2000 after the Internet bubble. The 20-year high of 4.25% was reached in 2009 as the financial crisis ended.
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Age 50 to 70 ½
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Include the House and Social Security
Lagging Performance
According to research by Prof. Dichev, from 1926 to 2002, stock investors lagged the stock market by an average of 1.3 percentage points a year, largely due to buying during “hot markets” and selling when stocks performed poorly.
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Bobrow vs. Commissioner: 60-Day Rollover
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Age 50 to 70 ½
Stock Weighting in Retirement
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Expert Predictions
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Low Cost College Strategy
Expert Predictions
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Survivorship Bias
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Stock Weighting in Retirement
The Economy: 2013 vs. 2000
The Economy: 2013 vs. 2000
The table below compares a number of economic indicators from the beginning of 2000 up to mid-December 2013 (sources: Federal Reserve, S&P/DJ Indexes, Fisev, Thomson Reuters, and U.S. Labor Dept.). All “gain” or “loss” figures in the table represent cumulative gains or losses with a base year of 1/1/2000.
Economic Indicators: 2000—2013
[approximate numbers]
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Seasonal Stock Rally
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Rethinking the 75% Retirement Rule