Mutual Funds

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Covered Call ETFs

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Credit Rating Firms

September Effect

There appears to be no convincing evidence why stocks have traditionally performed poorly during September. Despite this historical information compiled from 1896 through 2012, investors and advisors alike should avoid any “system” or market timing program. The reality is causation is not correlation.

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Hedge Fund Basics

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Joe Granville

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Charlie Munger

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U.S. Global Position

S&P 500 P/E Ratio

According to FactSet, from 2003 to October 2013, the S&P 500 had a P/E ratio (next 12 months’ earnings) that ranged from a low of ~ 10.5 (4th quarter 2008 and 3rd quarter 2011) to a high of 18.0 (beginning of 2004).

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Frontier Markets Dangers

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U.S. Innovation

Frontier Markets Dangers

Frontier  Markets  Dangers

As of September 2013, the MSCI Frontier Markets Index (141 companies) was valued at $123 billion, a valuation < 1/3 of Apple. Being small can have negative consequences. For example, it has been estimated that it would take > 10 days to liquidate a $100 million position in a frontier market (but just an hour to dispose of a similar position in an emerging market).

 

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Stock Indicator

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S&P 500 P/E Ratio

Closed-End Bond Funds

Closed-End  Bond  Funds

Closed-end funds (CEFs) trade on exchanges and almost always trade at a NAV discount or premium. For example, at the end of September 2012, 70% of CEFs traded at premiums; a year later, 89% traded at discounts (67% traded at discounts > 5%). One risk often not considered is the fact may CEFs are leveraged, which can magnify yields, losses, and gains. 

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American Funds

American Funds

American  Funds

Since the introduction of its first fund (ICA) in 1934, 67% of the mutual funds offered by American Funds have outperformed their respective indexes on a 5-yearing rolling period basis through the end of 2012. Since 2003, 77% of its funds have beaten their indexes on a rolling 5-year basis; the percentage increases to 92% for rolling 10-year periods starting in 2003.

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